If
E.T. is out there, why doesn't he visit us?
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The radius of the universe is inversely
proportional to the magnitude of this variable. Accordingly the
universe is expanding by a factor of 100 per century.
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Halton Arp
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We cock our
radio dishes and listen to the skies and nobody out there seems to be
interested to let us know of his existence. Seems, we are the only
noisemakers
in the Universe. Scientists, considering the question, have even
suggest a "cosmic
censorship," some kind of quarantine, imposed on our planet until the
human race is mature enough to learn the truth.
Perhaps.
But
then again, given time and distance, E.T. may have already visited our
planet,
only at the wrong time, when dinosaurs still walked the earth or even
more
likely a billion years earlier when life had lingered on in slimy
deposits of
microorganisms. Life on our planet could have gone extinct some 800
million
years ago, before the evolution of higher organisms, and there would
still have
been a long history of life: the history of microbes that have preceded
us for
three billion years. But the actual reason for our cosmic solitude
could stem
from Einstein's famous equation (energy equals mass by light velocity
to the
square power).
A
spacecraft making its way through the Milky Way would traverse mists of
tiny
particles and interstellar dust. At near light velocity, the mass of
each such
particle approaches infinity. How do you defend a spacecraft against
such
bombardment? It is like traveling at light-speed through solid
concrete. Which
seems to rule out inter-stellar space travel for just about everybody.
Yet,
for argument’s sake, let us assume we get around the obstacles; why
should we
think that advanced intelligence out there is inevitable? Look at life
on
Earth: apart from us, we know only two other groups of species of
comparable
intelligence: the apes and the whales. Although able to communicate and
comprehend, neither has shown any interest to do so without coaching
and
coaxing. Numerous species survive without any brain at all. And what
chance is
there that intelligent life actually cares to develop science and
technology?
Apart
from the odd discovery, the scientific method was neither discovered
nor
welcomed by the indigenous cultures of Africa, Asia and America. In
Europe,
too, science was received in the face of organized hostility.
We
like to think that a free market economy and democracy are the
necessary
foundation of scientific progress. The historical records are
ambiguous.
Without the Cold War no man would have gone to the moon yet, and at
present the
most ambitious nation in space, it seems, is communist China. So all
things
considered the odds are that our Milky Way may produce a technological
civilization once in a million years.
This
doesn't count the far greater number of primitive civilizations with
only the bare minimum of technology.
The
universe out there could be teeming with life, but for all practical
purposes
we are alone. The lifespan for any advanced civilization is just a few
millennia, and how likely can it be that two of such cultural lifespans
not
only overlap in time, but find themselves located in physical proximity
to each
other - close enough to make contact?
©
- 1/14/2008 - by michael sympson,
550
words, all rights reserved